Sierra Club, U.S. Population Growth, and Immigration
-- Dr. Judy Kunofsky, Chair of the Population Committee
The Sierra Club has long supported the idea that an end to population
growth in the U.S. and each country around the world is essential to
environmental protection. In particular, Club policy calls for
"development by the federal government of a population policy for the
United States" and for the U.S. "to end (its) population growth as soon
as feasible."
The U.S. population continues to increase by about two and a half
million people a year, the result of an excess of births plus in-
migrants over deaths plus out-migrants. While population growth rates in
less-developed countries are larger, America's numbers and growth have a
disproportionate impact on the environment, on natural resources, on
global warming, on air and water pollution.
Since 1981 the Club has supported and testified in favor of bills in the
House and Senate that would declare population stabilization to be the
goal of the country, and that would call for the preparation of an
explicit population policy that leads to the achievement of population
stabilization. The motto, "Stop At Two," (children) was easily achieved
in the 1970s, as average family size in the U.S. dropped below 2
children per woman. Yet this proved insufficient to achieve
stabilization due to substantial immigration. The Club never clarified
its policy to indicate what specific family size and immigration levels
would achieve this goal. This lack of clarity placed the Club in an
awkward position, calling for a policy but unable to explain what that
policy should be!
The Club's Population Committee began discussing this issue at its April
1988 meeting, taking advantage of the then-newly-released set of Census
Bureau population projections that, for the first time, examined the
effect of alternative combinations of both fertility and migration. The
result of the committee's discussions was an interpretation of Club
policy to cover immigration, the first time the Club has dealt with this
issue in a quantitative way: Immigration to the U.S. should be no
greater than that which will permit achievement of population
stabilization in the U.S. This interpretation was confirmed by the
Club's Conservation Coordinating Committee this past July.
Today, immigration accounts for almost 30% of this country's annual
population increase. According to the most recent Census Bureau
projections, issued January 1989, the number of legal immigrants and
refugees to the U.S. can be as high as 507,000 per year, but no greater,
for the U.S. to achieve population stabilization. This is somewhat less
than the 1986 and 1987 levels of 662,000 and 599,000, respectively, but
still a generous level of immigration in comparison to most other
countries around the world.
How Many Americans?
With current fertility levels, and immigration of 507,000 per year, the
U.S. population would reach its peak of 302 million in the year 2038,
and then experience a very slow decrease. This is a very large number of
Americans, given our disproportionate impact on the environment. For
example, Americans comprise about 5% of the world's population, yet
according to the World Watch Institute, generate 23% of the world's
carbon dioxide emissions, a major contributor to the global warming
problem. In fact, even the current level of 245 million Americans is
disproportionately detrimental to environmental quality.
For the U.S. to
achieve population stabilization sooner, or at a lower number of
Americans, would require fertility and annual immigration levels to be
lower than 1.8 children per woman and 507,000, respectively.
What Is the Club Planning to Do on the Immigration Issue?
The clarification of Club policy mentioned above in no way affects
existing Club policy to further reduce U.S. fertility and fertility in
other countries.
The Club will continue its efforts to support those
domestic and international U.S. programs that assist in a reduction of
fertility levels, specifically our efforts to reverse the Reagan
Administration's "Mexico City Policy," and to support the Foreign Aid
Authorization bill which would earmark a minimum percentage of funds for
international family planning programs administered by the Agency for
International Development.
The Sierra Club will lend its voice to the congressional debate on legal
immigration issues when appropriate, and then only on the issue of the
number of immigrants... not where they come from or their category (family
members, refugees, skilled workers, unskilled workers, investors, etc.),
since it is the fact of increasing numbers that affects population
growth and ultimately, the quality of the environment. Already during
this session of Congress, several bills relating to the issue of legal
immigration have been introduced.
Sierra Club statements on immigration will always make the connection
between immigration, population increase in the U.S., and the
environmental consequences thereof. The Club will also point out (to
quote from the May 1978 Board of Director's statement) that "all regions
of the world must reach a balance between their populations and
resources. Developing countries need to enlarge opportunities for their
own residents, thus increasing well-being, eventually lessening
population growth rates, and reducing pressures to emigrate." According
to the Board, "Developed nations must work toward greater conservation
of resources as well as population stabilization in order to reduce
impact on the depletion of non-renewable resources, creation of
pollution, and damage to ecosystems. This combination would remove the
root causes of international migration by providing more equitable
opportunities for people throughout the world."
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